The following message comes from our friends at Paradigm Press. They're supporting the Manward mission, so we hope you support them.
Biden's Economic Judgment Day - July 27th at exactly 2 p.m.
Dear Reader,
In the book of Revelation it says...
And when he had opened the fourth seal, I heard the voice of the fourth beast say, Come and see. And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him.
Now I'm not here to preach any gospel...
But this is exactly the kind of situation that is beginning to shape up in the markets.
You see, just days from now a "Financial 4th Horseman" set to appear in the markets...
And once it does, it could lead to economic chaos not seen in this country since 1929.
That's why Sunday July 24th at exactly 7 p.m. I'm going LIVE with an emergency broadcast just outside our nation's capital.
Clicking the link above automatically registers you for The 4th Horseman Summit, but does not obligate you in any way to attend the event. By reserving your spot, you will receive event updates. We will not share your email address with anyone. And you can opt out at any time. Privacy Policy.
It's here that I plan on detailing the exact extent of this coming crisis, and what you need to do to prepare, including:
The exact date my research shows the next stock market crash set to begin based on a 100+ year old historical pattern.
Why a "4th Horseman" set to appear in the markets next Wednesday has the potential to multiply the stock declines we've seen this year by several orders of magnitude...
What you need to do to protect you and your family's wealth.
A trade recommendation that could 11X or more in just weeks or months during a market crash, absolutely free.
I'll also reveal details on a special trade idea my team has put together that could 45X or more during a major market correction.
Look, if you've been following my work this year...
Then you already know that I've warned of this coming catastrophe three times now.
And each time I went live, the markets have fallen further and further.
Now with the Nasdaq down almost 30%...
And the S&P 500 not faring much better...
You CANNOT afford to miss this message.
Because what comes next could be the biggest market crash of them all...
A "Financial 4th Horseman" that could send this country spiraling down a path to market chaos not seen since the Great Depression.
So if you haven't yet, click the link below and reserve your seat for my urgent broadcast Sunday July 24th at 7 p.m.
Clicking the link above automatically registers you for The 4th Horseman Summit, but does not obligate you in any way to attend the event. By reserving your spot, you will receive event updates. We will not share your email address with anyone. And you can opt out at any time. Privacy Policy.
I look forward to seeing you at the event on Sunday.
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Options buyers lose money on 7 out of every 10 trades. They place high-risk trades, hoping for a big payout.
But they lose – a LOT!
That's why 85% accurate trader, Jim Fink, does NOT buy options. Instead, he flips them on their head and does this with them.
This "odd" options strategy helped Jim turn $50,000 into more than $5 million.
To discover the secret behind his incredible options trading strategy — and see exactly how one group of investors are using it to make as much as $67,548 per year from just 9 minutes of "work" per week— click on the video below, now:
Options buyers lose money on 7 out of every 10 trades. They place high-risk trades, hoping for a big payout.
But they lose – a LOT!
That's why 85% accurate trader, Jim Fink, does NOT buy options. Instead, he flips them on their head and does this with them.
This "odd" options strategy helped Jim turn $50,000 into more than $5 million.
To discover the secret behind his incredible options trading strategy — and see exactly how one group of investors are using it to make as much as $67,548 per year from just 9 minutes of "work" per week— click on the video below, now:
At 123 trade Option we're always looking out for special opportunities we believe you, as a valued reader, will want to see. Below is a message from our colleagues that we think you should check out.
Hey Trader,
If you would like to discover how a secret pricing anomaly could potentially help you turn a tiny starting stake into $3000 - $5000 trading options... you're in luck.
You can use this even if you're new to trading, because it's so straightforward that your average high schooler could probably learn it in an afternoon.
If that looks good to you, then you need to go here now.
See You Inside,
Chuck Hughes
P.S. I could easily charge hundreds of dollars for this valuable trading guide. And my publisher is urging me to start doing that soon. But that's why I want you to have FREE instant access to it immediately. I urge you to click here now!
The information provided by the newsletters, trading, training and educational products related to various markets (collectively referred to as the "Services") is not customized or personalized to any particular risk profile or tolerance. Nor is the information published by Legacy Publishing, LLC ("Legacy") a customized or personalized recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or invest in particular financial products. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and is not appropriate for everyone. The actual profit results presented here may vary with the actual profit results presented in other Legacy Publishing LLC publications due to the different strategies and time frames presented in other publications. Trading on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Other than the refund policy detailed elsewhere, Legacy does not make any guarantee or other promise as to any results that may be obtained from using the Services. Legacy disclaims any and all liability for any investment or trading loss sustained by a subscriber. You should trade or invest only "risk capital" – money you can afford to lose. Trading stocks and stock options involves high risk and you can lose the entire principal amount invested or more. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or trading signals will result in profits or that they will not produce losses. Some profit examples are based on hypothetical or simulated trading. This means the trades are not actual trades and instead are hypothetical trades based on real market prices at the time the recommendation is disseminated. No actual money is invested, nor are any trades executed. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. Also, the hypothetical results do not include the costs of subscriptions, commissions, or other fees. Because the trades underlying these examples have not actually been executed, the results may understate or overstate the impact of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Legacy makes no representations or warranties that any account will or is likely to achieve profits similar to those shown. No representation is being made that you will achieve profits or the same results as any person providing a testimonial. Testimonials relate to various other products offered by Legacy Publishing and not the product offered here, but all of these products are based on Chuck Hughes' system. Performance results of other products described in such testimonials may be materially different from results for the product being offered and may have been achieved before the product being offered was developed. Results described in testimonials from other products or the product being offered may not be typical or representative of results achieved by other users of such products. No representation is being made that any of the persons who provide testimonials have continued to experience the same level of profitable trading after the date on which the testimonial was provided. In fact, such persons may have experienced losses immediately thereafter or may have experienced losses preceding the period of time referenced in the testimonial. No representation is being made that you will achieve profits or the same results as any person providing a testimonial. The cost basis for some of the options in a portfolio may be reduced by rolling over profits at option expiration which is one of the Hughes Optioneering Trade Management Rules. Some income figures presented represent the total amount of option premium collected during the referenced period. Actual profits were less. Chuck Hughes' profit results are not typical. Past performance does not necessarily predict future results. Open trade profit snapshots represent the open trade profit performance for the portfolio displayed on the day the snapshot was taken. Open trade profits may have increased or decreased when trades were closed out. Chuck Hughes is an experienced investor and your results will vary depending on risk tolerance, amount of risk capital utilized, size of trading position, willingness to follow the rules and other factors.
1 2 3 Trade Option, 20 N. Orange Avenue, 32801, Orlando, United States
...in your push notifications:Steve Bannon. Yesterday, the former Trump advisor was convicted of contempt of Congress. For defying a subpoena from the Jan 6 committee.
…in your cart: Cotton candy-flavored grapes. Starburst-flavored strawberries. And other fruits that taste like candy. Sweet.
…in your TikTok feed: Talking to plants is the new talk of the town.
…in your watchlist: The latest comedy series from Issa Rae. Oh, sh!t.
Let Me Hold Your Hand
Design: theSkimm | Photo: Getty Images
Abortion Doulas: Post-Roe, abortion care is more stigmatized and stressful than it's been in nearly half a century. But networks of volunteers are stepping up to help.
The Story
These days, reproductive healthcare in the US is fraught. But history has shown abortions will continue, whether they're legal or not. So it's no surprise abortion doulas are in demand. Their work can vary — the field isn't regulated — but generally, they provide mental and emotional support as someone goes through the process. According to Lisa Hamilton, a doula from Brooklyn, NY, that looks like…
Focusing on patients: "I usually ask them, 'How do you best like to be comforted?' Some people wanna talk [or] know what's gonna happen every step of the way. Others wanna talk about TV, movies, [or] anything but what's happening. Other people don't wanna talk at all — they just want somebody there. Some people wanna be touched, [others] don't. So I try to figure out how they can best be comforted."
Being an advocate: "A lot of the focus of [being a doula] — especially with volunteer work — is more human rights oriented. Making sure that the person is being treated with dignity and respect…There's a huge discrepancy in how people of color and white people are treated in medical situations. It's important for us to be educated on that and to be able to advocate [for them]."
Fighting the stigma: "It's really rewarding knowing that I'm comforting somebody who's going through something that maybe they can't talk about with anybody else. I think the biggest problem is the stigma, backlash, and [anti-abortion] protests. What people have to go through to get to a clinic and an abortion is just abusive [and] demoralizing."
That's a lot of work.
Yes. And it's becoming even more.For the first time, abortion pills have outpaced surgical abortions, according to a recent report. That trend seems likely to continue, particularly in states where access is restricted. So the Doula Project is launching a hotline for people taking abortion pills at home. And in the 20 states that protect abortion, some are now helping out-of-state patients with logistics as they travel in order to access care. All of this is happening as in-person support becomes riskier, forcing doulas in some states to stop working. But Hamilton and others have no intention of backing down.
theSkimm
Throughout history, people have helped each other with abortions. And those networks of care continue today. Post-Roe, abortion doulas are even more needed — and continue to welcome volunteers.
PS: To read more about Lisa Hamilton and her work as a doula, click here.
Bookmark'd
Here's a look at the reads we've saved, texted, and emailed to our friends…
Downtime doesn't have to mean doing nothing. Here's one idea for making the most of your weekend.
You've heard of doomscrolling, but what about doombingeing? Think: Finding comfort in dark and scary entertainment, as we live through dark and scary times.
If you've already seen "The Handmaid's Tale," "Stranger Things," and "Station Eleven," you've likely actually benefited from doombingeing. (Yes, benefited.) That's because bleak binges apparently let you experience and work through "difficult emotions" in a "safe environment." So next time you're looking for an escape, consider these…
TV shows: "Severance," a dystopian workplace drama that takes work-life balance in a disturbing direction. "All of Us Are Dead," a gripping Korean show about high school students surviving a zombie apocalypse. And "Under the Banner of Heaven," a true-crime series based on the 1984 murder of a woman and her daughter in a tight-knit Mormon community.
Movies: "Nope," the latest thriller from Jordan Peele about siblings who discover something strange hovering over their family's horse ranch. "Watcher," which follows a lonely expat who moves to Bucharest and becomes convinced someone is watching her. And "The Black Phone," a suspenseful, edge-of-your-seat tale starring Ethan Hawke, who plays a child kidnapper and serial killer.
Books: "Cherish Farrah," an unsettling social horror novel about two Black girls enmeshed in a white, wealthy country club community. "The School for Good Mothers," an explosive fiction debut about a woman who finds herself in the hands of a Big Brother-like institution that'll determine whether she qualifies as a good mother. And "The Wild One," a coming-of-age thriller about three former camp friends and the childhood secret that continues to haunt them.
Skimm Picks
Here are today's recs to help you live a smarter life…
1. How to earn $$$ while spending it. Yep, it's possible. With these cards, you'll get high, ongoing cash-back rates on purchases you were already gonna make. Meaning your next swimsuit haul = big rewards. Oh, and new customers can get a $200 bonus offer. Learn more.*
2. Plant stands, hangers, and more for every budget. We've rounded up necessities to hit your peak plant aesthetic. And if you're new to plant parenthood, check out our recs that'll have beginners saying 'hi' to a green thumb in no time.
3. Accessories under $25 to keep your hair back this summer. Long hair, don't care…until the temperature rises and you're desperate to pull your strands away from your face. We gotchu.
*PS: This is a sponsored post.
Skimm More
More Skimm, more knowledge. Here's what else we covered this week…
Like ours, your work and personal calendars are probably hectic. So here are some events you should know about...
The final stage of the Tour de France. It's gonna be wheelie good.
The start of Discovery Channel's Shark Week. Fin-tastic.
The Queen B "Renaissance" is here. Tellin' everybody.
PS: Want more events like this on your cal? theSkimm App gives you a heads-up on when everything from holidays to sports games to awards shows are going down. Download it here.
Skimm'd by Rasheeda Campbell, Maria del Carmen Corpus, Xian Chiang-Waren, Melissa Goldberg, Maria McCallen, Kamini Ramdeen-Chowdhury, and Clem Robineau
Indeed, in the events of just the last few years, we have lived, like the Stoics, through all the hallmarks of history…extreme stress¹, adversity, chaos, and dysfunction. Life is tough…and it gets tougher. What did the Stoics do when this happened? They didn't stress. They didn't get scared. They turned to their philosophy and fell back on their training.
Because, as Seneca said, that's what it was there for, to offer counsel, advice, perspective. When all is lost, William Alexander Percy wrote of Stoicism, "it stands fast." The Stoics found confidence in their preparation. They knew that stressful situations are like the fire that forges gold. Even more, it is how gold is tested—whether it's real or counterfeit. And they knew the long history of this philosophy stands up well underneath unimaginable stress.
¹Inspired by these last few difficult years, we've assembled the best Stoic wisdom into an actionable course—Slay Your Stress: A Daily Stoic Challenge. So far it's been an incredible success—we heard from more people after its debut in 2020 than almost anything we've produced.
The new 20-day challenge, which includes 6 new days, is designed to equip you with the strategies and mindsets needed to reclaim your life from the negative effects of stress and anxiety. In addition to the most actionable ways to manage your stress and anxiety (backed by thousands of years of research and practice), there will be 3 live video sessions with Ryan Holiday.
Gregory Hays, one of Marcus Aurelius's best translators, writes, "If he had to be identified with a particular school, [Stoicism] is surely the one he would have chosen. Yet I suspect that if asked what it was that he studied, his answer would not have been 'Stoicism' but simply 'philosophy.'" He then notes that in the ancient world, "philosophy" was not perceived the way it is today. It played a much different role. "It was not merely a subject to write or argue about," Hays writes, "but one that was expected to provide a 'design for living'—a set of rules to live one's life by."
"There's so many things I've taken from working on these books. Even though they're children's books, it made me reread the Stoic writings and re-examine. For all practical purposes—I knew about Stoicism since high school—but really did not get into until you called me up for The Boy Who Would Be King. And then that became a deep dive. And I've got to say: in many ways, especially psychologically and just looking at life as it's getting crazier and crazier, it's been invaluable. It's been a lifesaver."
"As she became an internationally acclaimed author, Octavia Butler was often asked for her advice to young writers. She always said that the most important thing was to write every day, whether you feel like it or not. 'Screw inspiration,' she said."
Steve Bannon's criminal conviction for failing to comply with a congressional subpoena could send a signal to other Trump world figures who have dragged their feet with the Jan. 6 panel. | Alex Brandon/AP Photo
DRIVING THE DAY
The jury in STEVE BANNON's criminal trial took less than three hours — including a lunch break — to declare him guilty on two counts of contempt of Congress on Friday.
It was a landmark result for the Justice Department and the House Jan. 6 committee, whose investigation Bannon had refused to cooperate with. Each count could yield up to a year in prison at Bannon's Oct. 21 sentencing. Details from CBS
Bannon's criminal conviction for failing to comply with a congressional subpoena could send a signal to other Trump world figures who have dragged their feet with the Jan. 6 panel. But, but, but: As Josh Gerstein notes in his rundown of the trial's top takeaways , "any actual jail time for Bannon in the case could be modest and may be years away. And the significant restraints the judge put on the defenses Bannon could offer at trial raise issues that could find traction at an appeals court or even the Supreme Court."
Bannon's lawyers painted his prosecution as political, with arguments that drew prosecutorial objections and dismissals from the Trump-appointed judge. But even after the verdict came down — and despite sentencing looming in the fall — Bannon kept leaning hard into that tack. He went on TUCKER CARLSON's Fox News show Friday night to declare that "this is an ideological war" and warn the Jan. 6 committee, "Preserve your documents because there's going to be a real committee. And this is going to be backed by Republican grassroots voters and MAGA to say we want to get to the bottom of this for the good of the nation."
THE SECRET SERVICE'S SECRETS — Another elusive target of the Jan. 6 committee's probe, the deleted texts from Secret Service agents' phones, got a bit more clarity Friday when CNN's Whitney Wild and Jeremy Herb scooped that the Secret Service had narrowed its inquiry down to 10 personnel. Those staffers' 10 phones had metadata indicating deleted texts from on or around Jan. 6. "But the Secret Service's internal investigation ground to a halt after a July 20 letter from the DHS inspector general informed the agency there was an ongoing criminal investigation, directing the Secret Service to stop its own probe." Secret Service director's statement Friday
THE POLITICAL FALLOUT — A year and a half on, the events of Jan. 6 still hang in the political air all around us — even when they're pointedly and politely left unaddressed. That was the unusual state of play in Arizona on Friday, as former VP MIKE PENCE rallied for a gubernatorial candidate in a race that pits him against former President DONALD TRUMP — and spent his time praising the Trump administration, David Siders reports from Peoria. "[W]hat was laid bare more than anything in Arizona was just how lopsided that battle remains — and how hesitant the former vice president remains to break with his one-time patron in word even as he does so in deed."
Coming the day after the Jan. 6 committee showed the tangible dangers to Pence during the Capitol insurrection, the former VP's silence on the matter stood out. "His life was threatened," one attendee whispered as she left. "His life was threatened by his boss!"
Trump, of course, did not hold back in Arizona, blasting Democratic Sen. MARK KELLY and urging Republicans to turn out in big numbers on the back of false election fraud claims: "We need a landslide so big that the radical left cannot rig or steal even if they try." Details from the day, via the Arizona Republic
The apprenticeship program is just one of many free career advancement programs Amazon offers as part of its commitment to provide education and skills training for 300,000 employees through 2025.
LATEST UKRAINE NEWS …
Russia and Ukraine's grain export deal raised hopes Friday that despite the feverish war, critical foodstuff shipments from one of the world's breadbaskets could again start reaching populations in need. But officials from several countries voiced wariness to Eddy Wax and Meredith Lee , saying Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN could restart the blockade for political ends at any time — and exports might be slow to resume.
Just hours later, at least two Russian missiles struck the key Ukrainian port of Odesa, apparently breaching the terms of the deal, per WSJ's Matthew Luxmoore, Bojan Pancevski and Jared Malsin . The damaged infrastructure included a grain warehouse. "It's obvious that the agreement with Russia is not even worth the paper it was signed on," Ukraine's ambassador to Turkey responded.
The U.S. on Friday announced its second military aid package of the month for Ukraine, a $270 million tranche that encompasses tens of thousands of rounds of ammunition and five High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems. More from The Washington Times
Saturday morning read: The New Yorker's Luke Mogelson is out with a brutal dispatch from the Donbas , where "ordinary people trapped on the front lines have faced missile storms and starvation—and have no source of help except one another."
A message from Amazon:
Thanks to one of Amazon's many free career advancement programs, Della is now a trained equipment technician at Amazon facilities.
PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN'S SATURDAY — The president has nothing on his public schedule.
VP KAMALA HARRIS' SATURDAY — The VP has already left D.C. for Richmond, Va. Still to come:
— 10:05 a.m.: Harris will hold an abortion roundtable with Virginia state legislators at IBEW Local 666.
— 11:35 a.m.: Harris will leave Richmond to head back to D.C.
STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today .
PHOTO OF THE DAY
The Oak Fire rages outside of Yosemite National Park on Friday, suddenly becoming one of California's largest wildfires so far this year as it has charred roughly 4,500 acres. | Justin Sullivan/Getty Images
PLAYBOOK READS
9 THINGS THAT STUCK WITH US
1. THE STORY OF THE DAY … DAY TWO: The second installment of Jonathan Swan's Axios series on a second Trump term dives into the origins of Trump world's plan to use the obscure Schedule F to remake American bureaucracy. Domestic Policy Council staffer JAMES SHERK came up with the idea in 2019, which then dovetailed by 2020 with the single-minded drive by JOHNNY MCENTEE and ANDREW KLOSTER to root out all disloyal officials and replace them with ardent Trump believers.
The big picture: It's not just Schedule F. In another Trump (or potentially other Republican) administration, "experts say there are already so many existing exemptions across the federal bureaucracy that a future president determined to pursue mass firings would have plenty to work with."
2. PRIMARY COLORS: WES MOORE was officially projected as the winner of the Maryland Democratic gubernatorial primary, setting up a clash with Trumpist GOP nominee DAN COX in November, per The Baltimore Sun's Sam Janesch . Moore, who triumphed over TOM PEREZ and PETER FRANCHOT, would be the state's first Black governor.
Incumbent GOP Gov. LARRY HOGAN: "I think there's no race at all. I think Wes Moore is going to be the new governor."
3. (NOT) GETTING A BOOST: The Biden administration is now considering scrapping plans to expand second coronavirus booster shots this summer to most healthy people under 50, WaPo's Laurie McGinley, Dan Diamond and Lena Sun report . Instead, they're eyeing a sped-up timeline for reformulated booster shots to start getting in arms by early to mid-September.
The other public health threat: U.S. officials are weighing a public health emergency declaration for monkeypox, they told reporters Friday, the same day that the first two U.S. cases in children were confirmed. More from CNBC
4. TRAJECTORY OF THE TIMES: "How a former leftie fell into the pro-Trump conspiracy rabbit hole,"by Reuters' Linda So and Jason Szep in Pownal, Vt.: "Vermonter Harry Anzbock once supported Obama. He eventually came to embrace Trump's false rigged-voting claim – and threatened to kill election officials over it. Reuters traces one man's journey from counterculture youth to rightwing extremism and a dark family tragedy."
5. BATTLE FOR THE SENATE: Scarred by a wave of bad press and gaffes, HERSCHEL WALKER is trying to right the ship of his Georgia GOP Senate campaign by steering the focus back to Democrats, AP's Bill Barrow reports from Alto. "[I]t's an effort clearly aimed at changing the narrative around the matchup. The opening salvo was agriculture. Public safety and crime come next. The economy will follow. … Yet there were flashes of the tangents and falsehoods that have drawn negative attention already."
— PETER THIEL is pumping another $1.5 million into the Arizona GOP Senate primary to support BLAKE MASTERS, Natalie Allison reports , as competitor JIM LAMON swamps the airwaves.
6. HUAWEI OR THE HIGHWAY: "FBI investigation determined Chinese-made Huawei equipment could disrupt US nuclear arsenal communications,"by CNN's Katie Bo Lillis: "Among the most alarming things the FBI uncovered pertains to Chinese-made Huawei equipment atop cell towers near US military bases in the rural Midwest. … [T]he FBI determined the equipment was capable of capturing and disrupting highly restricted Defense Department communications, including those used by US Strategic Command, which oversees the country's nuclear weapons."
A message from Amazon:
Della got her dream job because Amazon invests in employees' careers. "They're paying for the education, and they're paying while we're there," she said.
7. DEMOCRACY WATCH: First it was New Mexico. Now three counties in Pennsylvania are refusing to certify their election results from the May primary, "the latest attempt by conservative-leaning counties to disrupt, delay or otherwise meddle with the process of statewide election certification," report NYT's Blake Hounshell and Nick Corasaniti . Though the Pennsylvania squabble is limited in scope, democracy advocates warn that this kind of challenge could engulf the American system in turmoil if it becomes more widespread in years to come.
8. ANTITRUST THE PROCESS: A newly aggressive FTC is considering revisiting or even trying to undo the 2018 merger of Northrop Grumman and Orbital ATK, report Josh Sisco and Lee Hudson . The agency has already determined that Northrop violated the terms of the agreement. "Such a move would send shockwaves through the defense sector, and mark a major milestone for President Joe Biden's antitrust agenda, sowing doubt about both proposed and existing mergers across the economy."
9. ANNALS OF DIPLOMACY: U.S. embassies in Africa are struggling with ongoing understaffing, which staffers say is damaging morale and hampering America's bid to compete with China and Russia on the continent, Foreign Policy's Robbie Gramer and Amy Mackinnon report . "The problem has caught the attention of top U.S. lawmakers, who have raised alarm bells about the long-term impact of understaffed embassies, while senior officials at the State Department say they are working to fill the gaps as quickly as they can."
CLICKER — "The nation's cartoonists on the week in politics," edited by Matt Wuerker — 15 funnies
— "The Attorney General's Choice,"by Ian Bassin and Erica Newland in The New York Review of Books: "Merrick Garland's job in weighing a Trump indictment is not to heal the nation."
— "What Will Chris Smalls Do Next?"by Wes Enzinna in N.Y. Mag: "He did the impossible: Unionize an Amazon warehouse. Then the hard part began."
— "Sex, Lies, and Audiotape: Eavesdropping on Trump's 'Team Crazy,'"by Los Angeles Magazine's Jason McGahan: "In an explosive hour-long phone call, attorney Lin Wood and former Overstock CEO Patrick Byrne dished on Mike Flynn, Kyle Rittenhouse and lusty 'Jezebel' Sidney Powell."
— "That Voice You're Hearing? It Might Be Hers,"by NYT's Katherine Rosman: "Julia Whelan is one of the most in-demand audiobook narrators working today. With her novel, 'Thank You for Listening,' she's telling a story of her own."
INTRODUCING POWER SWITCH: The energy landscape is profoundly transforming. Power Switch is a daily newsletter that unlocks the most important stories driving the energy sector and the political forces shaping critical decisions about your energy future, from production to storage, distribution to consumption. Don't miss out on Power Switch, your guide to the politics of energy transformation in America and around the world. SUBSCRIBE TODAY .
PLAYBOOKERS
Mick Mulvaney has no regrets about having his birthday party at Mission.
The attractive mystery man sitting behind Matthew Pottinger and Sarah Matthews at the Jan. 6 committee hearing is actually Matthews' boyfriend, Ryan and Anthony Adragna revealed .
Ketanji Brown Jackson will weigh in on affirmative action after all as the Supreme Court decided not to consolidate its Harvard and UNC cases.
SPOTTED: Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) signing books at Explore Booksellers in Aspen, Colo., on Friday afternoon. … Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.), Mark Esper, Eric Schmidt, MI6 chief Richard Moore and Kay Bailey Hutchison chatting on the Doerr-Hosier terrace Friday on the final day of the Aspen Security Forum.
OVERHEARD: Fiona Hill getting upgraded to first class for her United flight from Aspen to Denver.
TRANSITION — Monica Skoko Rodríguez is now director of medical standards at Planned Parenthood Federation of America. She most recently was executive director of Miami-Dade County's Commission for Women.
ENGAGED — Maggie Thomas, chief of staff for the White House Office of Domestic Climate Policy and Franz Hochstrasser, CEO of Raise Green, got engaged at the White House Fourth of July party.
WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Laura Schlapp,VP at CRC Advisors and a Mike Pence, DOD and Air Force alum, and Bryan Wells, who works at Stanton Park Group and is a Pat Roberts alum, welcomed Elizabeth Jane "EJ" Schlapp Wells on June 30. Pic
HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.)… DOT's Aaron Moore … Eric Werwa … Fritz Brogan of the Mission Group … Melissa Braid … Connor McAllister of Sen. Steve Daines' (R-Mont.) office … Dean Aguillen of Ogilvy Government Relations … David Brock … Matt Jeanneret of the American Road and Transportation Builders Association … Mary Crane of Targeted Victory … Will Mesinger of Meraki Communications Group and MikeWorldWide … POLITICO's Lisa Kashinsky and Erin Banco … Judy Lichtman … Finsbury Glover Hering's Craig James and Josh Gross ... Edelman's Courtney Gray Haupt … Tracie Pough … former Justice Anthony Kennedy … former Rep. John Hall (D-N.Y.) … State's Kenya James … Stephanie Grisham … House Judiciary's Gabriel Barnett … Carolyn Vadino … Jane Rayburn of EMC Research … Monica Lewinsky …MSNBC PR's Liza Pluto
CBS "Face the Nation": Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) … Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo … Ashish Jha … Ukrainian Ambassador Oksana Markarova … Miami Mayor Francis Suarez.
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By repeatedly trading just one ticker symbol as the market opens, he's collected a total cumulative gain this year of 2239.77%.
Just look at the full track record!
Jeffry wants you to be trading the same signal with him when the bell chimes on Monday, which is why he's traveled to Jacksonville to join Tom Busby for a special LIVE training session.
RISK DISCLAIMER There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading.. DTI Trader and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibility for your trading results. The indicators, strategies, columns, and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein.
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Unsubscribe | CyberTradingUniversity.com is not an investment advisor and is not registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. In addition, owners, employees, or representatives of Cyber Trading University are not investment advisors or registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Industry Regulatory. IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that using this strategy or any trading methodology will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk associated with equities trading of securities and options. Trading securities is not for everyone. Disclaimer: Day Trading, Swing trading, Stock Trading, Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You should be aware of the risks and accept them in order to invest in these markets. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation or promise is being made that anyone is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading methodology is not necessarily a guarantee of future results. Visit our website below to read the full disclaimer. https://cybertradinguniversity.com/terms-of-use-disclosures/
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Jeffry Turnmire and Tom Busby are about to open the door for you
Jeffry Turnmire has traveled to Jacksonville, FL to host a special training session with Tom Busby.
Join now to learn how he's dominated the opening bell this year — all by trading just one ticker symbol over and over again!
Trade safe,
Micah Lamar
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By repeatedly trading just one ticker symbol as the market opens, he's collected a total cumulative gain this year of 2239.77%.
Just look at the full track record!
Jeffry wants you to be trading the same signal with him when the bell chimes on Monday, which is why he's traveled to Jacksonville to join Tom Busby for a special LIVE training session.
Unsubscribe | CyberTradingUniversity.com is not an investment advisor and is not registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. In addition, owners, employees, or representatives of Cyber Trading University are not investment advisors or registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Industry Regulatory. IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that using this strategy or any trading methodology will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk associated with equities trading of securities and options. Trading securities is not for everyone. Disclaimer: Day Trading, Swing trading, Stock Trading, Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You should be aware of the risks and accept them in order to invest in these markets. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation or promise is being made that anyone is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading methodology is not necessarily a guarantee of future results. Visit our website below to read the full disclaimer. https://cybertradinguniversity.com/terms-of-use-disclosures/
Cyber Trading University 6800 Jericho Turnpike Suite 116W Syosset, New York 11791 United States (877) 702-9237
Unfortunately, you aren't able to make the connections you want to today. People you call are unavailable and your keynote speaker is unable to attend the virtual meeting you scheduled. Accept this and trust that these things have happened for the best.
Unfortunately, you aren't able to make the connections you want to today. People you call are unavailable and your keynote speaker is unable to attend the virtual meeting you scheduled. Accept this and trust that these things have happened for the best.
Mixed messages are the worst! Discover the truth with a live psychic reading.Chat online now.
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By repeatedly trading just one ticker symbol as the market opens, he's collected a total cumulative gain this year of 2239.77%.
Just look at the full track record!
Jeffry wants you to be trading the same signal with him when the bell chimes on Monday, which is why he's traveled to Jacksonville to join Tom Busby for a special LIVE training session.
RISK DISCLAIMER There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading.. DTI Trader and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibility for your trading results. The indicators, strategies, columns, and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein.
You'll feel like indulging a bit today and that's OK as long as you also do something to counteract your indulgence of choice. If it's ice cream, for example, understand that lactose is difficult to break down and it also causes mucous build-up, so drink an extra lot of water to counteract these effects. If it's taking a break from exercise, make today the day that you get to bed early so you are refreshed for tomorrow.
You'll feel like indulging a bit today and that's OK as long as you also do something to counteract your indulgence of choice. If it's ice cream, for example, understand that lactose is difficult to break down and it also causes mucous build-up, so drink an extra lot of water to counteract these effects. If it's taking a break from exercise, make today the day that you get to bed early so you are refreshed for tomorrow.
Mixed messages are the worst! Discover the truth with a live psychic reading.Chat online now.
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Love can be like the weather - hot and steamy one day, cold and foggy the next. Your Daily Love Tarot is like a forecast for each day.... Pick A Card ›
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Today's alignment of the planets could mean that you have a chance to get out and do some things on your own - providing a much needed break from your current relationship, which may have been proving rather difficult over recent times. This chance for space may well bring about a revolution in your understanding of the whole situation. You won't want to repeat the same mistakes.
Today's alignment of the planets could mean that you have a chance to get out and do some things on your own - providing a much needed break from your current relationship, which may have been proving rather difficult over recent times. This chance for space may well bring about a revolution in your understanding of the whole situation. You won't want to repeat the same mistakes.
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Happy Saturday.Smart Brevity™ count: 1,197 words ... 4½ mins. Edited by TuAnh Dam.
🇺🇦 Breaking: Russian missiles hit Ukraine's port of Odesa, the day after a deal to unblock grain exports and ease global food shortages. Keep reading.
1 big thing: Trump's revenge
Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photo: Al Drago/Getty Images
President Trump was attending the National Prayer Breakfast, but showing no sign of grace, Jonathan Swan writes in Part 2 of his 12,000-word reporting tour de force, "Inside Trump '25."
Lips pursed, face alternating between anger and frustration, he lashed out at enemies who had brought him to the doors of impeachment. He brandished the day's newspapers. The first headline: "ACQUITTED." The next: "Trump Acquitted." It was Feb. 6, 2020.
Close aides believed Trump had crossed a psychological line during his Senate trial. He now wanted to get even — he wanted to fire every single last "snake" inside his government. To activate the plan for revenge, Trump turned to a young take-no-prisoners loyalist with chutzpah: his former aide John McEntee.
By the end of that year, Trump also had a second tool in his armory, a secret weapon with the innocuous title, "Schedule F." The intention of this obscure legal instrument was to empower the president to wipe out employment protections for tens of thousands of civil servants.
Why it matters: If former President Trump runs again in 2024 and wins back the White House, people close to him say, he would turn to both levers again.
It is Schedule F, combined with the willpower of top lieutenants like McEntee, that could bring Trump closer to his dream of gutting the federal bureaucracy and installing thousands devoted to him or his "America First" platform.
🥊 Trump declined to be interviewed for this series. He is already facing campaign-finance legal scrutiny for having hinted too much about his intentions to run in 2024 without formally declaring his candidacy.
Trump's closest confidant in Congress, Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), is excited about the prospects of mass firings in a second Trump term.
He said in an interview with Axios that he had talked about it with another person close to Trump and that "the line that we talked about was, 'Fire everyone you're allowed to fire. And [then] fire a few people you're not supposed to, so that they have to sue you and you send the message.' That's the way to do it."
When Axios asked for the former president's response to this reporting, spokesperson Taylor Budowich declined to address point-by-point specifics.
Instead, he said in a statement: "There are many people who want to see President Trump return to the White House, and the polls show that he is in a dominant position for 2024. However, anyone performing the important research and vetting that this story described is doing it at their own discretion."
Amid all the rumbling about wage growth failing to keep up with resurgent inflation, they've been more than holding their own.
Wages grew 12% for the youngest workers in June, more than twice the rate for those between 24 and 54, according to data from the Atlanta Fed's wage growth tracker.
Younger Americans are outperforming the old, even in absolute dollar terms. A 3.7% raise on the over-55 median weekly wage of $1,240 is $46; a 12.5% increase on the under-24 median wage of $707 is $88.
🧠 What's happening: It's normal for younger workers, who are just starting out and earning less, to see faster wage growth than their older, more experienced peers. But the spread has never been this wide (as the chart above shows).
It helps that in this jobs recovery, the biggest gains are happening at the bottom — with hourly, low-wage, and less-educated workers getting wage increases that have mostly kept up with inflation.
💭 "I have two girls in their early 20s, over the last two years they've seen their wages more than double," Crit Thomas, Global Market Strategist for Touchstone Investments, said in an email. "I hope they don't think this is normal."
Thomas is over 55 — and very much not keeping up with inflation, he added.
We told you in Axios PM that former White House strategist Steve Bannon was speedily convicted yesterday of two contempt charges for defying a subpoena from the House Jan. 6 committee.
Bannon — a former Goldman Sachs banker whose podcast, "War Room," is heavy on "America First" nationalism — held up the same reading material as he arrived at court Wednesday (above) and left yesterday after being found guilty (below) ... the pink-hued, London-based Financial Times.
Photo: Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images
Context: Bannon says you need to read/watch the enemy. He often plays MSNBC clips on "War Room." The dining room table at "The Embassy," his Capitol Hill redoubt, is often laid with the N.Y. Times or The Economist.
5. 📦 Underestimated Amazon
Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios
For all its size and power, people continue to underestimate Amazon by focusing on what the company is already doing, instead of where it will go next, Axios' Ina Fried writes in her weekly tech column, "Signal Boost."
Why it matters: Amazon's strategy of expanding into large new markets not only enables it to surprise competitors and avoid regulators, but also helps it continue to show big growth despite how huge it has become.
Amazon announcedThursday it plans to buy health care provider One Medical for roughly $4 billion.
It's hardly the company's first move into health care: Amazon already owns an online pharmacy after buying PillPack, and operates Amazon Care, a virtual primary care service.
💡 How it works: Like an iceberg, Amazon is always bigger than what's visible.
In its earliest days in the '90s, observers worried about Amazon's impact on bookstores. The company was already laying plans to take over other parts of online retail.
By the time rivals worried about Amazon's dominance of online retail as a whole, it was moving into logistics, third-party marketplaces and web services.
As the world woke up to Amazon's strength in those areas, the company was expanding into physical retail. Whole Foods was its biggest play. But it also entered the cashier-free market with Amazon Go. Amazon is now licensing that technology to others.
What's next: FTC chair Lina Khan made her reputation with research into Amazon's practices, and has been working to rewrite merger guidelines to address these kinds of deals.
Team USA's Sydney McLaughlin celebrates with "Legend the Bigfoot," mascot of the World Athletics Championships in Eugene, Ore. — after winning gold and setting a world record in women's 400-meter hurdles.
It's the fourth time in 13 months that she's broken the world record in that event.
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These aren't just typical, widely-covered, large-caps either…
Instead, each opportunity comes from a different sector of the gold market. From producers, junior miners, royalty companies, and explorers – these are 5 market-leading pure-plays that nearly guarantee returns for the next few months.
And discover why this could be the best moment in decades to own gold stocks.
Good Investing, The Gold Playbook
P.S. This report is a primer to today's evolving gold investment environment. Not only does it cover some of the basics like how to hedge your wealth safely with gold… but it also breaks down industry trends sector by sector… and pinpoints several high-quality growth stocks along the way.
Welcome to a special weekend edition! To mix it up while Dan is away and I'm filling in on weekdays, today's newsletter is a dive into the fertility care universe from our Axios Pro Health Tech and Vitals teams, edited by Axios Pro's George Moriarty.
📪 Try out Axios Pro and get $200 off any Axios Pro subscription by using code PRO200 at checkout.
Today's newsletter is 1,225 words ... 4½ minutes.
1 big thing: Cautious optimism from private equity
Illustration: Gabriella Turrisi/Axios
Private equity owners of the country's leading IVF treatment platforms tell us they are getting educated on state laws and preparing for the aftermath of the June 24 Dobbs ruling, Axios' Sarah Pringle writes.
Why it matters: While Dobbs introduces a new layer of uncertainty in the near term, investors say interest in fertility remains robust with long-term industry tailwinds plentiful.
Zoom in: Fertility has always been a highly regulated industry, both around egg storage and outcomes reporting.
But, with a cash- and commercial-payor base, fertility has historically been deemed lower-risk by many investors from a reimbursement and regulatory perspective. (In contrast, many other medical specialties depend on Medicare or Medicaid reimbursement.)
Meanwhile, with decision-making reverting to the states post-Roe, the sector is entering a period of "moderate risk," one investor says, adding that as states legislate around abortion access, "it will return to a lower risk level."
The big question: If some state regulators ultimately decide personhood begins at the creation of an embryo — making it illegal to discard embryos that are not fertilized — what will investors with clinics in those states do?
For example, if Ohio went a certain way, PE-backed clinics could hypothetically move over state lines to Pennsylvania. "We're not doing that just yet, but we have to make contingency plans," one investor says.
The widespread hope is that legislative bodies will include carve-out language that protects fertility access. (More on this below.)
The bottom line: The ruling isn't expected to impede on demand, and market fragmentation only adds to a compelling PE playbook.
"[The ruling] hasn't changed or slowed down our perspectives around growth in regions of the U.S.," another investor says.
Demand is fueled by social factors and growth in awareness, a higher degree of employer coverage, and advancements in technology and science that can lead to higher success rates, which could drive down costs and push demand even higher.
2. Roe reversal spurs Favor to embrace "brand moment"
Illustration: Gabriella Turrisi/Axios
Favor, the digital pharmacy formerly known as The Pill Club, reversed course when the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, Axios' Erin Brodwin writes.
Why it matters: The company had intended to expand beyond birth control, but it saw demand for emergency contraception spike 5,000% in the 72 hours after the Supreme Court ruling. So it pivoted back to its roots, focusing almost exclusively on birth control and emergency contraception.
Driving the news: When the Dobbs ruling was announced at the end of June, Favor was in the midst of becoming a more comprehensive virtual care company.
What they're saying: "We felt like this was a brand moment for us," Favor VP of market access Tom Roark tells Axios.
How it works: The company has created a two-way referral network with abortion providers, including Hey Jane and Abortion Finder, where people seeking abortion help get referred to those providers and those seeking more basic contraception care get referred to Favor.
Yes, and: The company is still considering expanding into a number of areas, including at-home testing for sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and sexual and fertility counseling — either via M&A or internal builds.
"There are a lot of directions we can go to go beyond birth control," says Roark. "The question is, are those things we want to build ourselves or things we want to partner with others in the space to do?"
What's next: Despite starting out with a direct-to-consumer focus, Favor is currently working with a number of organizations in a B2B fashion to be their birth control provider of choice.
Tech-enabled fertility provider Kindbody has not seen investor interest wane, and it has plans for acquisitions and a likely IPO next year, Axios' Claire Rychlewski writes.
Why it matters: Observers anticipated that the Supreme Court reversal of Roe v. Wade could have worrying implications for fertility and IVF providers.
What they're saying: "[Investor] appetite is very high," Kindbody CEO Gina Bartasi says. "I have not seen any investor interest wane from ramifications of Roe versus Wade."
Between the lines: That doesn't mean there wasn't some initial concern. Bartasi tells Axios that she's been in touch with patients — and existing and prospective investors — since the draft decision leaked in May.
She says the American Society for Reproductive Medicine's June review of current state trigger laws and their potential impact was an invaluable resource in quelling investor worries, as it indicated no immediate material effect on Kindbody's business — for now.
"We're taking it state by state," Bartasi says. "Now, if laws change in six months, in 16 months, in 16 years, we'll evaluate."
State of play: This fall the company will open four new fertility clinics — two in Texas and one each in Arkansas and California.
Kindbody is seeing increased demand from patients based in trigger states, Bartasi says. (See Axios' map of abortion availability.)
With 28 clinics live, she says patients are able to transfer their embryos from trigger states to other locations as needed.
By the numbers: Kindbody expects to be cash-flow positive in nine months, Bartasi tells Axios.
In the last 60 days, Kindbody went from managing 450,000 patients to 2.4 million.
The company has raised $154 million to date — most recently securing $30 million on a post-money valuation of $1.2 billion, Bartasi says.
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4. IVF lobbyists get to work
Illustration: Natalie Peeples/Axios
The demise of Roe v. Wade is prompting intense lobbying from IVF centers to keep the process from getting tangled up in a raft of new abortion bans and restrictions, Axios Vitals' Adriel Bettelheim reports.
Why it matters: It's another way that the elimination of a federal right to abortion is subsuming other forms of reproductive care.
Driving the news: IVF interests — led by the American Society for Reproductive Medicine — are trying to persuade red state legislatures to adopt language that would exempt IVF from trigger laws that ban or restrict abortion.
How it works: The IVF process works by fertilizing eggs with sperm in a lab and then transferring that fertilized egg — or embryo — to a uterus. But it's common that some embryos wind up going unused.
The question is whether a state confers legal protections to those unused embryos, experts say. And that can come down to how a law defines an "unborn human being," which the Supreme Court majority referenced when it overturned Roe.
Between the lines: Grassroots lobbying at the state level is expected to intensify as IVF clinics are flooded with calls from concerned patients.
Of note: The fertility market is a significant economic force worth an estimated $8 billion, which could sway some post-Roe debates, UC Davis law professor Lisa Ikemoto wrote in the Los Angeles Times.
What we're watching: Whether fertility clinics develop workarounds amid the ongoing legal uncertainty.
House passes bill to protect birth control access (Axios)
Scoop: Lee Equity's Inception Fertility seeks buyer (Axios)
🧩 Trivia
Following the Supreme Court's June 24 ruling on Roe, in vitro fertilization providers and patients face significant uncertainty on their future.
Question: When was the first child conceived via IVF born?
🧮 Final Numbers
Data: Pitchbook; Chart: Jared Whalen/Axios
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This is the last call for our 2022 Sustainable Investment Survey, which is focused on investors' views surrounding sustainable investing, as well as the subtopics of ESG risk factors and impact investing. You can take the survey here.
In case you missed them, we released our flagship US PE and VC reports last week:
How ESG frameworks and impact investing fit into real estate
With more investors looking to real estate as a potential inflation hedge, and with private markets having developed a taste for sustainable investing, we bring you our latest analyst note: ESG and Impact Investing in Private Market Real Estate.
This report is a guide for GPs, LPs, consultants and others on the ESG-related risks and sustainable investing opportunities that exist in the space across investment strategies and property sectors. It delves into the interplay between risk exposure and geography, tenant profile, and implementation of capital improvements, among other factors, answering the question of how to address ESG gaps and capitalize on opportunities.
The strategies that involve the fewest meaningful changes to properties are those that typically experience the least risk and opportunity, while those that require the most substantive changes to meet return targets experience the greatest degree of both. For example, as core strategies employ a buy-and-hold approach with the highest-quality assets in the best locations, they frequently already benefit from built-in “healthy building” and energy- and water-conscious features. Similarly, as core funds acquire established buildings without the intent to reposition them, they aren’t as vulnerable as other strategies are to business ethics risks due to permitting-related government touchpoints.
In contrast, an opportunistic strategy’s new development faces all the sustainable investing risks and potential that come with building from the ground up. Investors can reap the benefits of using responsibly sourced materials to create a climate-resilient property or bear the repercussions of negligently disrupting a delicate ecosystem. They can garner buy-in from the surrounding community by building rapport with local leaders or suffer reputational damages and construction delays due to onsite injuries.
For more on how property subsectors such as multifamily residential, hospitality & recreation, manufacturing, and agricultural land fit into the equation, read the full note.
Best,
Anikka Villegas Analyst, Fund Strategies & Sustainable Investing
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Market Updates
Dealmaking was a bright spot for European PE through the first half of 2022, with record dry powder and the rise of private credit funds keeping the deal environment moving despite a range of near-term risks.
The second half of the year may be a different story, however, due to slowing growth, rising interest rates and the possibility of a recession, according to our Q2 European PE Breakdown. Key takeaways from the report include:
Deal value totaled €463.5 billion through June 30, a year-over-year increase of nearly 35%, driven primarily by a spike in deal sizes.
Take-private activity also increased over H1 2021, and with take-privates offering one of the best risk-reward plays for PE firms, they're expected to remain a major theme in 2022.
Exit volume remained flat, but cumulative exit value fell by 25% YoY as valuations dropped.
Fund count is pacing toward its lowest total ever, with just 40 vehicles closed in H1, as LPs struggle to keep up with GPs' demand for capital.
European venture funding is on pace to surpass €100 billion for the second consecutive year, but activity could slow as markets enter correction territory.
In our Q2 2022 European Venture Report, we explore the trends that shaped the continent's ecosystem in the first six months of the year. Highlights include:
European startups raised €54.4 billion in H1, but last quarter registered a decline of 10.6% in capital invested over Q1 2022.
Late-stage deals took the largest share of capital, with more than 66% of the total value.
Exits fell significantly from 2021's record, with 657 completed worth a combined €25.8 billion.
Fund count could fall to its lowest level since 2013, but rising fund sizes are pushing up the total raised.
Supply chain is arguably one of the most affected industries by the COVID-19 pandemic, with frequent and severe setbacks that the space could not have prepared for. Despite this, it continues to garner interest from VC investors that see potential in new businesses seeking to address these challenges. Join us for a webinar on August 4 where our speaker will discuss the evolution of supply chain over the last two years, the VC environment surrounding it and the technological developments expected to help combat current pain points.
We'll be joined by Insperity to discuss the value of human capital strategy and by J.P. Morgan to unpack developments in the venture ecosystem.
Commentary
Senior emerging tech research analyst Alex Frederick weighs in on Cruising Kitchens' late-stage VC round:
"Cruising Kitchens’ latest funding round will be used to launch a new business division called 'CK Ghost Kitchens' which will focus on partnering with athletes, celebrities and influencers to launch themed ghost kitchens and food trucks.
"Ghost kitchens have proven popular with larger quick service restaurant (QSR) chains looking to grow off-premise revenues and enter new markets.
"However, other virtual restaurant concepts without strong brand recognition have struggled to stand out on crowded third-party delivery platforms.
"Celebrity licensing agreements are one potential strategy to differentiate from the competition."
Fintech fundraising retreats as the venture boom fades. [TechCrunch+]
Investors are keeping an eye on public tech stocks and not closing on late-stage deals until more clarity is reached around valuations. [The Information]
In Q2, VCs funneled around $16 billion into US early-stage deals, down 22% YoY. [The Wall Street Journal]
"Once we get to the end of Q3, of Q4, all the [venture] funds will have been going through, or up against, this climate for at least three-quarters of a year. I doubt many funds are entering the market right now." [TechCrunch+]
If you're a journalist interested in interviewing our analysts or requesting data, contact our PR team.
Alt-Protein Industry Advances Despite Costs and Red Tape (sneak peek)
European Private Capital Outlook: H1 Follow-Up
A message from DealCloud, by Intapp
Dealmakers remain optimistic despite heightened risk, valuation and competition
The spring 2022 edition of the Dealmaker Pulse Survey Report is live. This fifth edition of the biannual survey showed record-breaking activity in the past six months not only in the number of deals, but also in competition, pricing for deals, and fundraising.
Download a copy for a range of insights from private equity professionals on deal activity and fundraising, as well as data-driven analysis on the trends, factors, and challenges dealmakers may face in the months ahead.
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