🇨🇭 Good afternoon, and welcome to our Deep Dive from Davos, Switzerland, where Team Axios — Dave Lawler, Felix Salmon, Ina Fried, Jonathan Swan and Axios publisher Nicholas Johnston — covered the World Economic Forum's annual meeting of heads of state, CEOs, activists and celebrities.
Smart Brevity™ count:1,241words ... 4½ mins. Edited by David Nather and Alison Snyder.
1 big thing: Cold War Davos
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
The premise of the World Economic Forum is that if you bring powerful people together across borders, they can solve some of the world's thorniest problems.
If this year's forum is any indication, the biggest geopolitical players can't even gather in the same room anymore, Axios' Dave Lawler reports.
At Davoses past, Russian oligarchs — including Oleg Deripaska — threw lavish parties. Vodka flowed at the Russia House, centrally located on the Promenade.
This year, Russian companies were banned, Deripaska is sanctioned, and the Russia House was converted into the Russian War Crimes House.
There was little Chinese participation this year, due partly to the onerous COVID restrictions on travel to and from China.
The buzz: With the autocratic powers absent, Davos felt like a trans-Atlantic lovefest. Panel topics included "European Unity" and "The Resurgence of the West."
"We've had this holiday from history for 30 years, right? And Davos has been very much a part of that," former Finnish Prime Minister Alexander Stubb tells Axios, referring to the post-Cold War decades in Europe in which walls came down and war seemed distant.
The forum's idealism about power and globalization can feel like a relic of a time when supply chains were expanding, the connective force of the internet felt boundless, and the U.S.-led liberal order stood preeminent.
"The things that were supposed to bring us together are actually driving us apart at the moment, because everything can be weaponized," Stubb says.
What to watch: While Russia is out of the Davos club, China — given its massive market and geopolitical weight — is still being cautiously courted, including by Western officials and executives.
Before U.S. climate envoy John Kerry appeared alongside his Chinese counterpart — the only time officials from the two superpowers shared a stage — Axios overheard him discussing how to handle it with his team: "Do I say I'm happy to be here with my friend?"
Kerry did use that word in the end, before noting "the serious disagreements between our countries."
Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photo: Ronaldo Schemidt/AFP via Getty Images
Ukraine dominated many of the panel discussions, speeches from world leaders, and even the evening entertainment in Davos,Dave reports.
No one set the tone more than Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who didn't step foot in Davos but was easily the star of the show.
Zelenskyappeared via videolink for an Axios interview with Jonathan Swan, and opened the forum with an impassioned address. Even with a slimmed-down crowd in Davos this year, we'd never seen the hall so full.
A dozens-strong Ukrainian contingent did travel to Davos to lobby for more weapons, seek investment to rebuild the country and urge the VIP audience not to look away.
Tuesday night's offerings included a concert for Ukraine, with Yo-Yo Ma performing, and a dinner for Ukraine, hosted by Ukrainian oligarch Victor Pinchuk.
Cellist Yo-Yo Ma and classical pianist Emanuel Ax perform at a Ukraine solidarity concert in Davos. Photos: Ina Fried/Axios
The dinner quickly turned somber as several Ukrainian attendees were introduced — including the mayor of Bucha, the Kyiv suburb synonymous with mass graves, and a doctor from Mariupol, where thousands of civilians have died and a maternity hospital was bombed.
After the mayor of Russian-occupied Melitopol rose to speak, another Ukrainian attendee unveiled a battle-damaged flag from "our boys on the front lines." Everyone rose for an impromptu rendition of the national anthem.
"We don't have to worry about the f---ing monkeypox, do we?"
— Al Gore, overheard in the Davos conference center
At the first annual meeting since the pandemic brought the global economy to its knees, COVID was largely ignored as a clear and present risk to the assembled delegates and hangers-on, Axios' Felix Salmon reports.
Delegates trusted that their mRNA boosters and the testing protocols would protect them, along with modern therapeutics, should they end up catching the virus.
The main venue for the annual meetings, the Congress Centre, is a warren-like and largely windowless conference center, divvied up into small, airless rooms.
Dozens of delegates file into such spaces for panels, press conferences, and the like. Almost none were wearing masks.
The Davos nightlife similarly picked up where it left off pre-pandemic, with loud and crowded venues, free-flowing alcohol, and people shouting to be heard over the din.
Masks were worn only by servers. Any delegates with COVID worries didn't even bother showing up.
People who were tested at the center ended up mixing with other people in Davos who hadn't been tested — then returned to the center, where few people wore masks.
The bottom line: Some of Davos' biggest parties were canceled, but others replaced them. The Chainsmokers performed at a tiny, packed bar.
As the energy system becomes more digitized, the grid becomes more vulnerable to cyberattacks.
The solution: Cisco works to keep the grid safe by harnessing insights to anticipate issues, prioritizing the most important efforts and defending by closing gaps.
Frayed supply chains and U.S.-China tensions were on the minds of many tech executives this week, Axios' Ina Fried reports.
Why it matters: Nearly every tech company is dealing with the one-two whammy of a global semiconductor shortage, combined with COVID-related disruptions in China and elsewhere.
Long supply chains have always been somewhat vulnerable to disruptions. But the pandemic caused multiple failures, changing the calculus for many in tech.
China-U.S. tensions also appear likely to permanently change the equation.
The big picture: All companies are feeling the heat to greater and lesser degrees. Even Apple, which has been able to better withstand past shocks, says the constraints will dent revenue this quarter on the order of $4 billion to $8 billion.
Justin Hotard, who runs the unit that builds supercomputers at Hewlett Packard Enterprise, told us the question is whether tech will move to a "segregated, more localized supply chain."
Wherever the world's attention might be focused right now, it's not Davos, Switzerland, Felix reports.
When a major new trade pact was announced Monday — encompassing 13 countries including the U.S., Japan, India, South Korea, and Australia — it was at a summit in Tokyo, 6,000 miles from Davos.
Heads of state — including President Biden, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi gathered in Tokyo — to discuss supply chains, pandemics, and the war in Ukraine.
In Davos, the U.S. delegation was threadbare. The highest-profile attendee was Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo.
The bottom line: Switzerland, proudly neutral for 500 years, lends itself well to creating and strengthening international ties of commerce, friendship, and familiarity. (The first time I came to Davos, I had a fascinating half-hour conversation with an Iranian ayatollah.)
In an era of everyone picking sides, Davos has less to offer.
Why it matters: Counting frogs is a great way to judge the health of a forest. So the accounting firm EY has created a challenge to develop an AI-based frog-counting tool.
The team with the greatest accuracy will win $10,000.
"Currently, species distribution models for frogs are poor for a variety of reasons," says EY spokesperson Konstantinos Makrygiannis. "With the challenge, we are aiming to improve the existing process."
The digitization of the energy system improves energy security — but it can also pose new risks.
What you need to know: Cisco helps keep the grid safe from vulnerabilities across systems, supply chain and infrastructure, ensuring operations are more reliable, resilient and efficient.
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In short: He'll explain how the huge shake-ups in the market this year have opened a rare "backdoor" that could transfer money from Wall Street's wealthiest investors into your account…
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🇺🇸 Hello, Saturday. Best to you and yours for Memorial Day weekend. Smart Brevity™ count: 1,179 words ... 4½ mins. Edited by TuAnh Dam.
1 big thing: Cold truth about paper wealth
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
Billionaire wealth — on paper, at least — has tumbled dramatically during Wall Street's recent turmoil, illustrating important lessons for everyone about the ephemerality of stock gains and losses, writes Javier E. David, Axios managing editor for business.
Why it matters: Net worth is something of a public obsession, and a bit of a chimera avidly followed by publications like Bloomberg or Forbes. Yet the reality about paper wealth — especially fortunes tied to volatile technology stocks — is that it can be ephemeral. Attempts to put an exact figure on it can be misleading.
Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates are hardly paupers. But their fortunes — most of which are linked to the value of shares in the companies they founded — wax and wane dramatically, and are subject to fickle market forces.
Musk, technically the richest person on the planet — again, on paper — isn't liquid enough to write a check to buy Twitter outright. That inconvenient truth has weighed on Tesla's stock.
And it's not just the rich: This week, JPMorgan estimated that American nest eggs have seen a collective $5 trillion evaporate in recent months. That figure could nearly double by year's end.
💡 The lesson for retail investors or someone watching the swings in their retirement account:
Your focus should be on a balanced portfolio — and the long term. Strong markets lure investors into betting too heavily on riskier investments.
Sources: Video footage, law enforcement officials and a former student familiar with the school layout. Graphic: The New York Times. Licensed by Axios
At least eight 911 calls were made from classrooms at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas, between 12:03 p.m. — half an hour after the 18-year-old gunman entered the building Tuesday — and 12:50 p.m., when Border Patrol agents and police finally stormed in and shot him dead.
Two of the calls came from adjoining fourth-grade classrooms.
A girl whispered during a minute-long call at 12:03 p.m. that she was in Room 112 — more than 45 minutes before the tactical team used a janitor's key to open the locked classroom door.
The on-site commander, chief of the Uvalde school district's police department, believed that the gunman was barricaded inside and that children were no longer at immediate risk. "It was the wrong decision, period," Col. Steven McCraw, head of the Texas Department of Public Safety, said at a briefing.
Standard law enforcement protocols call for police to confront an active school shooter without delay, rather than waiting for backup or more firepower. McCraw, whose voice choked with emotion at times, said: "We're here to report the facts, not to defend what was done."
Most of the kids trapped with the gunman were 9- or 10-years-old.
Videos showed anguished parents outside the school, urging police to storm the building during the attack, with some having to be restrained by police.
What we don't know:
How many kids could have been saved. Medical experts stress the importance of evacuating critically wounded gunshot patients to a trauma center within 60 minutes — what emergency physicians call "the golden hour."
Why a more experienced commander from a bigger agency didn't take over. Police are stationed outside the home of Uvalde School District police chief Pete Arredondo, who is said to have made the fateful decision to wait.
Above: Drone's-eye view of the memorial that's taken over the Uvalde Town Square in front of the Uvalde County courthouse.
A grieving husband died of a heart attack after his wife of 24 years — Irma Garcia, a fourth-grade teacher in Uvalde — was killed in the rampage along with her co-teacher. Keep reading.
The names: 19 children, 2 teachers killed in Uvalde.
3. 📈 3 good signs for the economy
This is the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation. Data: Bureau of Economic Analysis (Commerce Department). Chart: Axios Visuals
Economic data signal firmer growth(Drops voice: that may slow by year-end):
Wall Street broke its seven-week losing streak, the longest since 2001. The S&P finished 6.6% higher for the week — its best weekly gain since November 2020. Go deeper.
The pace of inflation (graphic above) showed signs of stabilizing, Axios' Courtenay Brown and Neil Irwin write from data released yesterday. It was the index's first slowdown since November 2020.
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More Americans than ever will hit the road in an electric vehicle this Memorial Day weekend, Joann Muller writes from Detroit for Axios What's Next.
Why it matters: The U.S. is still in the early stages of a historic shift to electric transportation. EVs account for just 4.6% of new car sales — up from 2.4% a year ago. But with gas prices soaring and longer-range EVs hitting the market, EV road-tripping is becoming more popular.
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🧠 Do the math: We compared the cost of a 200-mile road trip in a gas-powered Ford F-150 pickup (America's best-selling model) with the cost of the same trip in an electric F-150 Lightning, using data from the Zero Emission Transportation Association (ZETA), an industry coalition.
At $4.60 per gallon, it would cost $119.60 to fill a gas-powered F-150's 26-gallon tank.
We assumed the gasoline truck would get 24 mpg, based on Ford's specifications (real-world mileage depends on engine options and other factors).
Over 200 miles, our internal-combustion truck would burn 8.3 gallons of gas — costing roughly $38, or about 20 cents per mile. Last Memorial Day, the same trip would have dinged us about $25.
The same trip in the electric F-150 Lightning would cost about $12, or 6 cents per mile, based on national average electricity prices of 14 cents per kWh.
Cook rates the competitiveness of every House race, on a scale from "solid D" to "solid R," with "tossup" at dead center.
Wasserman tells me that of the 25 ratings he has revised since January:
22 were toward Republicans ... 3 were toward Democrats.
Why it matters: Democrats' uphill fight to keep control of the House (GOP only needs to net five seats) is getting more uphill.
6. 🇺🇦 1 for the road
Photo: NurPhoto via Getty Images
Ukraine issued a set of stamps — ''Russian warship… DONE" — to commemorate the sinking of the Russian warship Moskva.
Notice the hand gesture. In one stamp, the ship is there. In the other, it's gone.
Ukrainians lined up by the hundreds at post offices across the country when the stamp was issued this week. (WashPost)
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How AAPI entrepreneurs are moving forward
More than 90% of AAPI small-business owners faced difficulties keeping their businesses open during the pandemic.
"We wanted to keep everybody safe, but we also had this want and need to make sure the business could survive," Yvonne Leung says of her business, Hereafter.
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While the rest of the market is panicking, I'm doing one thing I do better than anyone else I know.
I'm trading one pattern in one sector.
This pattern has been a major contributor to my $7,000,000 in trading profits - whether the broad stock market is screaming up or plummeting down.
And today, I've been given the green light to share this strategy. (By clicking the link above, you will begin receiving emails from this advertiser)
Because as soon as next week, we could be seeing some major potential profit opportunities with this strategy.
I've helped over 25 traders generate a $1 million dollars, and I believe that using this strategy could potentially be the key to you starting that same journey.
So whether you're looking for a new career with the flexibility of a trader, or just want a couple extra pay days - NOW is the time. (By clicking the link above, you will begin receiving emails from this advertiser)
Don't let this chance slip you buy - I haven't seen a buy alert opportunity like this in a long time!
Celer Wealth, LLC, its owners, officers, directors, employees, subsidiaries, service providers, content providers and agents (referred to as " Celer Wealth ") are not financial or investment advisors and not licensed to sell securities or investments. None of the information provided is intended as investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as an endorsement, of any company, security, fund, or other offering. The information should not be relied upon for purposes of transacting securities or other investments. Your use of the information contained herein is at your own risk. The content is provided 'as is' and without warranties, either expressed or implied. Celer Wealth does not promise or guarantee any income or particular result from your use of the information contained herein. Under no circumstances will Celer Wealth be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information contained herein. It is your responsibility to evaluate any information, opinion, advice or other content contained. Please seek the advice of professionals, as appropriate, regarding the evaluation of any specific information, opinion, or other content.
While the rest of the market is panicking, I'm doing one thing I do better than anyone else I know.
I'm trading one pattern in one sector.
This pattern has been a major contributor to my $7,000,000 in trading profits - whether the broad stock market is screaming up or plummeting down.
And today, I've been given the green light to share this strategy. (By clicking the link above, you will begin receiving emails from this advertiser)
Because as soon as next week, we could be seeing some major potential profit opportunities with this strategy.
I've helped over 25 traders generate a $1 million dollars, and I believe that using this strategy could potentially be the key to you starting that same journey.
So whether you're looking for a new career with the flexibility of a trader, or just want a couple extra pay days - NOW is the time. (By clicking the link above, you will begin receiving emails from this advertiser)
Don't let this chance slip you buy - I haven't seen a buy alert opportunity like this in a long time!
Markets officially entered a bear market. Inflation, rising interest rates, and war has left long term investors nervous. BUT... As with every cloud comes a silver lining. Today's market is ideal for traders. There is one options trading strategy I've used for 23 years that has produced consistent results in all market conditions... and now producing returns faster than ever!
Whether you're brand new to options or an experienced options trader join this free online seminar!
Warm Regards,
Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist
TheoTrade
P.S. There are only 500 seats available to this exclusive online seminar. Last time I did this seminar 3,508 registered. Make sure you Click/Tap Here to Register and save your spot.
Disclaimer: Neither TheoTrade or any of its officers, directors, employees, other personnel, representatives, agents or independent contractors is, in such capacities, a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, registered broker-dealer or FINRA|SIPC|NFA-member firm. TheoTrade does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. TheoTrade is not in the business of transacting trades, nor does TheoTrade agree to direct your brokerage accounts or give trading advice tailored to your particular situation. Nothing contained in our content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, promotion, or endorsement of any particular security, other investment product, transaction or investment.Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past Performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
TheoTrade 16427 N Scottsdale Rd Suite # 410 Scottsdale, Arizona 85254 United States 1 (800) 256-8876
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Quick Note: At The Late Investor, we're always looking out for special opportunities we believe you'll want to see. Below is a message from our colleagues that we think you should check out.
Congratulations!
You've worked hard and saved to invest - that's no small feat. But now that you're ready to invest, where do you start?
How Can You Ensure You're Not Risking Everything You Worked For?
I'm Chuck Hughes, and when you download my e-book "How To Trade Options Like a Champion", you'll be handed the keys to options trading and the strategies that have helped thousands of my students minimize risks and making it possible for my members to pocket over $14 million in profits.
Auto-trading, or any broker or advisor-directed type of trading, is not supported or endorsed by Legacy Publishing LLC. For additional information on auto-trading, you may visit the SEC's website: All About Auto-Trading, The information provided by the newsletters, trading, training and educational products related to various markets (collectively referred to as the "Services") is not customized or personalized to any particular risk profile or tolerance. Nor is the information published by Legacy Publishing, LLC ("Legacy") a customized or personalized recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or invest in particular financial products. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and is not appropriate for everyone. The actual profit results presented here may vary with the actual profit results presented in other Legacy Publishing LLC publications due to the different strategies and time frames presented in other publications. Trading on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Other than the refund policy detailed elsewhere, Legacy does not make any guarantee or other promise as to any results that may be obtained from using the Services. Legacy disclaims any and all liability for any investment or trading loss sustained by a subscriber. You should trade or invest only "risk capital" – money you can afford to lose. Trading stocks and stock options involves high risk and you can lose the entire principal amount invested or more. In order to avoid a conflict of interest, Trading Service recommendations were not executed by Chuck Hughes or his associates. The trade entry and exit prices (and resulting profit/loss) represent the price of the security at the time the recommendation was disseminated. Trading Service profits are not based on actual trades and have certain limitations. Since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as lack of liquidity. Profits on some Trading Service option trades may be rolled over at expiration into the new option which will reduce the cost basis of the new option. If the cost basis of a new option becomes negative, then the new option will be assigned a cost basis of $1.00 as the percent return cannot be calculated with a negative cost basis. Legacy Publishing LLC makes no representations or warranties that any account will or is likely to achieve profits similar to those shown. No representation is being made that you will achieve profits or the same results as any person providing a testimonial. No representation is being made that any person providing a testimonial is likely to continue to experience profitable trading after the date on which the testimonial was provided, and in fact the person providing the testimonial may have subsequently experienced losses. The Chuck Hughes profit results are not typical. Chuck Hughes is an experienced investor and your results will vary depending on risk tolerance, amount of risk capital utilized, size of trading position, willingness to follow the rules and other factors. The Chuck Hughes profit claims represent the open trade profit results on the day the portfolio snap shot was taken for the PowerTrend Strategies. Open trade profits may have increased or decreased when the trade was closed out. Other strategies may not have been profitable during the same time period. Cash Payout trades receive cash credits from the sale of option premium. The profits for Cash Payout trades may be less than the cash received for the sale of the option premium. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Memorial Day weekend is always a lot of things. It's the end of the school year, the unofficial start to summer, and a time to honor those lost in our nation's wars. This year, though, our thoughts are likely to be a little closer to home.
In Our Backyard: Memorial Day weekend is a lot of things. It's the end of the school year, the unofficial start to summer, and a time to honor those lost in our nation's wars. This year, though, our thoughts are also likely to be a little closer to home.
The Story
The country is still grieving the 21 people, including 19 children, who were murdered at an elementary school in Uvalde, Texas this week. And it isn't the only mass shooting that's top of mind. There was the grocery store in Buffalo, NY. And the church in Laguna Woods, CA. In fact, since 2022 began, our country has experienced more mass shootings than days of the year. Which has lots of people asking, 'Why does this keep happening in America?'
Should we talk about it…
The Second Amendment? Yes. The US is one of only three countries in the world that gives anyone the constitutional right to keep and bear arms. And it's a right that some Americans take very seriously. Case in point: There are more civilian-owned guns in America than there are people. But with rising gun violence in the US, many have called on Congress to pass gun control legislation so that guns aren't so easily accessible. Worth noting: In some US states, it's harder to register to vote or to get a puppy than it is to buy a gun. But most gun control measures have been met with pushback or inaction.
Why is that?
In large part, the National Rifle Association — the most powerful gun rights group in the US. Which, by the way, is holding its annual convention in Houston this weekend, just a few hundred miles from Uvalde. In recent decades, the NRA has obstructed gun control in Washington through lobbying, 5 million extremely vocal and active members, and political donations to lawmakers like Mitt Romney, Marco Rubio, and former President Donald Trump. It successfully pushed Congress to roll back gun sale restrictions and to quash an assault weapons ban proposed after Sandy Hook. However, some think the org's power is starting to fade due to financial and legal issues.
Where are lawmakers in all this?
Good question. Especially since an estimated 90% of Americans — as in, we the people — support background checks. Two bills to achieve that passed the House more than a year ago. Those are HR 8, a background check bill for all gun sales. And HR 1446, which would close a loophole that allows a gun sale to move forward if a background check takes longer than three days. Both have since collected dust in the Senate, since Dems know they don't have the votes for them to clear the floor. And that's unlikely to change. Nearly all 50 Senate Republicans, when asked after this week's massacre, either refused to move background checks forward or declined to comment. But some Dems are still crossing their fingers.
How have other countries handled this?
Places like Britain, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand restricted gun access after mass shootings — and some included other measures, like buyback programs. Unlike in the US, many semiautomatic weapons (think: the AR-15) are restricted or banned in those countries as well. Plus, they have robust checks and licensing requirements. All in all, guns are an American epidemic. We are 25 times more likely to be killed in a gun homicide than people in other high-income countries.
theSkimm
This week, we witnessed the worst elementary school shooting since Sandy Hook in 2012. And the government has taken little to no action to protect its most vulnerable citizens.
PS: Learn more about the NRA's grip on Washington here.
…in your Twitter feed: Halsey calling out their record label.
Bookmark'd
The weekend means more time to do the things you love. For many of us, that's reading. But we can't Skimm it all for you. So instead, we're giving you a look at the reads we've saved, texted, and emailed to our friends…
1. One-on-one coaching with an expert. Future's coaches have trained everyone from pro athletes to working professionals. So you're always in good hands. Whether you're a first-time gym-goer or you could basically run the show. Psst…Skimm'rs get 50% off their first three months.*
2. Memorial Day sales that are hot this weekend. From 40% off sale items at Urban Outfitters to $800 off Casper mattresses, these deals won't last much longer. Cha-ching.
PS: Want more events like this on your cal? theSkimm App gives you a heads-up on when everything from holidays to sports games to awards shows are going down. Download it here.
theSkimm Loyalty Program
Design: theSkimm
3x the sign up points?* You bet. More earnings. More quickly. Hello, more rewards. Sign up for theSkimm Loyalty Program and watch (triple) the points roll in.
*Sign up promotion limited to new member enrollments occurring between May 23, 2022 and June 7, 2022. Contact loyalty@theSkimm.com for questions.
Skimm'd by Rasheeda Campbell, Maria del Carmen Corpus, Xian Chiang-Waren, Melissa Goldberg, Niven McCall-Mazza, and Clem Robineau
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